Scott Adams and the Demise of Common Sense

Scott Adams, the creator of Dilbert, has announced on his blog that he'll be blogging less often. It seems that his original common sensical expectations about how the blog would turn out aren't coming out well at all.

They original expectations included:

1. Advertising dollars
2. Compiling the best posts into a book.
3. Growing the audience for Dilbert
4. Artistic satisfaction.

Of these, only number 4 has worked out. RSS has made visitors go around the ads, the book hasn’t done all that well, and the audience for Dilbert hasn’t been correlated at all with the growth of the blog. As the blog has exploded, the benefits to him haven’t. So he’s talking about blogging less often. It’s a great illustration of how common sense is a lousy predictor of future events. Viva testing and statistics.

Microsoft Is After Your Brain

New Scientist is reporting a Microsoft patent application for monitoring a test subject with an EEG during usability testing, so that testers can see how people really react, instead of relying on second-hand information like behaviors or think-aloud protocols. Apparently Microsoft believes it has a way to separate out the dozens of noisy signals from the ones they believe relate to user responses. Are all the rest of us out of work now?